EURUSD Forecast: What to Expect in the Next 6 Months
π§ EUR/USD 6-Month Outlook (Mid 2025 β Late 2025)
πΉ Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair remains highly sensitive to diverging monetary policy between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
# ECB Policy Moves: The ECB has signaled a slower easing pace than initially expected, especially with Germany's economic activity rebounding modestly. This could help support the Euro in Q3βQ4 2025.
# Geopolitical Factors: Rising global uncertainty and any deterioration in EU growth could pressure the Euro, while safe-haven flows may support the USD.
π Technical Analysis:
# Support Zone: 1.0600 β 1.0700
# Resistance Zone: 1.1000 β 1.1150
# Mid-Term Trend: Neutral to Bullish (if it breaks and holds above 1.1000)
# Indicators: MACD showing early bullish crossover; RSI recovering from oversold levels
A break above 1.1000 could signal a sustained uptrend, especially if ECB guidance strengthens. However, if macro data weakens or USD gains momentum, a retreat to 1.0700 is possible.
π SignalMines Insight:
Our models anticipate short-term volatility but a potential bullish breakout by Q4 2025, targeting 1.1150. Traders should monitor ECB rate decisions and key U.S. inflation reports to adjust their strategies accordingly.